Live gold statistics in one place: everything that actually moves the gold price today — not a prediction, just the raw parameters. Each section pulls from a real source and is left honestly empty if that source isn't available, rather than inventing a number.
Real (inflation-adjusted) yields and the dollar are gold's two biggest structural headwinds/tailwinds: higher real rates raise the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset; a stronger dollar makes gold costlier in other currencies.
Real-money odds from Kalshi and Polymarket — the level is priced in already; it's the week-over-week move that carries signal.
Live from the Astro Heavy bot's own technical read — the same numbers driving its actual position sizing.
The highest-weighted real, dated, sourced macro items currently on the living board — central-bank buying, ETF flows, Fed-policy news. Same decay rules apply: this list thins out as items age past a 5-day half-life.
Included because gold-nerd curiosity extends here too. This pillar's board weight is earned strictly by measured hit rate (see Methodology), capped well below the data-backed pillars.
Live value where a real feed exists — same sources as the sections above and the living board, never a second hardcoded number for the same fact. An em-dash means the feed isn't wired yet, not that the parameter doesn't matter.
| Parameter | Now | Why it matters | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spot XAU/USD | $4,023.67 | The price itself; everything keys off it | Binance PAXGUSDT |
| COMEX futures & basis | — (see roadmap) | Contango/backwardation flags physical stress | CME Group — see roadmap |
| US 10y real yield | 2.66% | The single strongest macro driver (inverse) | FRED: DFII10 |
| Dollar Index (DXY proxy) | 121.3202 | Gold is priced in dollars (inverse) | FRED: DTWEXBGS (Broad Dollar Index, not ICE DXY) |
| Fed path odds | Oct 28 FOMC: hold 92% / hike 7% · Dec 9 FOMC: hold 24% / hike 71% | Rate expectations move real yields | Kalshi FOMC-decision markets |
| Central-bank net buying | — (see roadmap) | The structural bid of the 2020s | World Gold Council monthly |
| ETF holdings flow | — (see roadmap) | Western investor demand in real time | World Gold Council ETF flows |
| COT managed-money net long | — (see roadmap) | Crowding = squeeze fuel both ways | CFTC weekly COT — see roadmap |
| 50 / 200-DMA | $4,224 / $4,341 | Regime definition; golden/death crosses | Computed from Binance candles |
| RSI-14 (daily) | 23.1 | Momentum & exhaustion | Computed from Binance candles |
| Gold/Silver ratio | — (see roadmap) | Relative-value & risk appetite gauge | Derived from spots — see roadmap |
| Gold miners (GDX) vs gold | — (see roadmap) | Miners lead at turns; divergence warns | Any equity API — see roadmap |
| Shanghai premium | — (see roadmap) | Chinese physical appetite | SGE vs LBMA spread — see roadmap |
| India landed premium/discount | — (see roadmap) | World's #2 physical market; price-elastic | IBJA vs import parity — see roadmap |
| Geopolitical risk markets | US-Iran military escalation risk: 20% · Hormuz traffic normalizing: 12% | Safe-haven premium, quantified | Polymarket geopolitics contracts |
| CPI / inflation expectations | 45% (Kalshi consensus crossover) | The inflation-hedge bid | Kalshi CPI brackets / FRED |
| Oil (Brent) | — (see roadmap) | Inflation passthrough & risk proxy | Any commodities API — see roadmap |
| Lunar/transit calendar | Purnima (Full Moon) | Astro pillar inputs — pre-registered only | Swiss Ephemeris (computed live) |