As of September 11, 2026, the board reads 100% bull / 0% bear. Every piece of evidence for and against gold, weighted by impact × confidence × freshness. Items decay with a 5-trading-day half-life and retire below 0.4 weight — this board cannot argue last month's tape. One event can only sit on one side: dedupe is enforced, and evictions are logged below.
Board history: 100% bull share, unchanged from 100% around 2026-08-28.
Weekly EMA structure is bullish at $4,348.88
No live bear items.
Weight = impact × confidence × freshness. Impact (1–5) is how much the event can move gold; confidence (0–1) is how sure we are it's true and framed on the right side; freshness decays with a 5-trading-day half-life.
Astro items are capped by earned skill. An astrology item's confidence can never exceed the pillar's live Brier-derived skill. Today that's 25% pillar weight — the board enforces humility automatically.
One event, one side. Every item carries an event_key. If two claims about the same event land on opposite sides, the higher-weighted framing wins and the eviction is logged publicly above.
Update cadence. The board rebuilds every 6 hours from bot state, prediction markets, and the astro calendar. Pillar weights recalibrate every Sunday from the scoreboard. Intra-week regime breaks fire Telegram alerts immediately.
Nothing survives on reputation. Items retire below 0.4 weight. A claim from three weeks ago is gone unless re-registered with fresh evidence — which resets its timestamp and its accountability.
Not investment advice. This is a scoreboard of arguments, not a recommendation. The board has been wrong before and will be again — that record lives on the methodology page.