Bottom line: gold closed the week at $3,901.71, -2.55% on the week, with the 10-year real yield -3bp at 2.63%.
Last week
This is a numbers-only edition: our news research step was unavailable when it was generated, so it reports only what the market data shows. The full briefing returns next week.
The week ahead: 2 Nov–6 Nov
The numbers
- Week covered: 26 Oct–30 Oct 2026. Week ahead: 2 Nov–6 Nov.
- Gold spot now: $3,909.45.
- Gold last week: closed Friday at $3,901.71, -2.55% from $4,003.77 the Friday before; range $3,890.00–$4,082.99.
- US 10Y real yield (FRED DFII10): 2.63% on 2026-10-29, -3bp on the week.
- US 10Y Treasury yield (FRED DGS10): 4.98% on 2026-10-29, -2bp on the week.
- Brent crude (FRED DCOILBRENTEU): $123.10 on 2026-10-27, -5.20 on the week.
- Fed broad dollar index (FRED DTWEXBGS, not ICE DXY): 121.32 on 2026-10-23, +0.00 on the week.
- Kalshi: Fed 9 Dec 2026 meeting, 71% probability of a 25bp hike.
- Kalshi: Fed 27 Jan 2027 meeting, 25% probability of a 25bp hike.
- Kalshi: Fed 17 Mar 2027 meeting, 47% probability of a 25bp hike.
- Gold 50-day average $4,177.68; 200-day $4,319.09.
Gold: Binance PAXG/USDT. Yields, Brent and the dollar: FRED. Fed odds: Kalshi. Run your own view through the gold price simulator.
Not investment advice.