Bottom line: gold closed the week at $4,003.77, -3.82% on the week, with the 10-year real yield -10bp at 2.64%.
Last week
This is a numbers-only edition: our news research step was unavailable when it was generated, so it reports only what the market data shows. The full briefing returns next week.
The week ahead: 26 Oct–30 Oct
| Wed 28 Oct | Federal Reserve rate decision Kalshi prices a 7% chance of a 25bp hike. [1] |
|---|
The numbers
- Week covered: 19 Oct–23 Oct 2026. Week ahead: 26 Oct–30 Oct.
- Gold spot now: $4,004.43.
- Gold last week: closed Friday at $4,003.77, -3.82% from $4,162.70 the Friday before; range $3,994.00–$4,200.00.
- US 10Y real yield (FRED DFII10): 2.64% on 2026-10-22, -10bp on the week.
- US 10Y Treasury yield (FRED DGS10): 4.96% on 2026-10-22, -13bp on the week.
- Brent crude (FRED DCOILBRENTEU): $115.22 on 2026-10-20, -4.11 on the week.
- Fed broad dollar index (FRED DTWEXBGS, not ICE DXY): 121.40 on 2026-10-16, +0.00 on the week.
- Kalshi: Fed 28 Oct 2026 meeting, 7% probability of a 25bp hike.
- Kalshi: Fed 9 Dec 2026 meeting, 75% probability of a 25bp hike.
- Kalshi: Fed 27 Jan 2027 meeting, 32% probability of a 25bp hike.
- Gold 50-day average $4,232.35; 200-day $4,344.94.
Gold: Binance PAXG/USDT. Yields, Brent and the dollar: FRED. Fed odds: Kalshi. Run your own view through the gold price simulator.
Astro calendar
- 1 Nov — Jupiter enters Leo (sidereal) (bullish)
The astrology pillar's record: 54% hit rate over 28 scored calls. Weigh it accordingly.
Sources
Not investment advice.